June 30$769K Vol.
June 15$897K Vol.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify. A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met: - Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria. - Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count. The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: We will never leave Hezbollah in Lebanon alone, and the end of the war will also encompass Lebanon and all other fronts.
Even if u right, still not enough for yes
גם כל חיזבלון יקבל אישה יהודיה שומרת מצוות, מקווה שאין ישראלים שמבזבזים פה כסף על כן..
IRAN'S ARAQCHI: END OF WAR ON ALL FRONTS, INCLUDING IN LEBANON, WILL BE ANNOUNCED UNDER INTERIM DEAL
MP Hussein Al-Hajj Hassan from the #Hezbollah parliamentary bloc to Al Jazeera: What we have received clearly from Iran is that #Lebanon is included in the ceasefire.
UST IN: US official says proposed Iran war deal includes Lebanon, AFP reports.
U.S. OFFICIAL TO AFP: THE AGREEMENT DOES INCLUDE LEBANON
Yiia boiiii The US commits itself to forcing Israel to end the war in Lebanon, according to the emerging memorandum of understanding -IRNA
And you think borh Hezbollah and Israel are gonna provide statement saying they reached an agreement as per required by the rules ?
Yes, via an Instagram photo of the soldiers all together
According to the report, the draft includes an immediate and permanent halt to fighting on all fronts, including Lebanon; - Mehr
from Mehr • Immediate and permanent ceasefire on all fronts, including Lebanon • Maritime blockade lifted within 30 days • U.S. forces to withdraw from areas around Iran • Strait of Hormuz reopened within 30 days under Iranian arrangements • Suspension of sanctions on Iranian oil and petrochemical exports • Full access to Iranian financial assets • 60 days of negotiations toward a final nuclear agreement • $24 billion in frozen Iranian funds to be released, with half before talks begin This news is so absurd. Lifting economic sanctions on Iran before nuclear negotiations is absolutely impossible. it is basically telling Trump to surrender LOL
get ready to lose that 5k lol
Hello different species, did we deserve this one?
If you deserved another nonsensical tweet from Trump?
Israel continues to occupy southern Lebanon.
Israel keeps eliminating targets of Hezbollah
scam market; UMA cartel already ran this exact same before. peace deal with lebanon will make this go yes even though it doesn't include hezbollah
If Hezbollah is understood to be involved it will resolve YES
The UMA resolution was not a scam. Israel was never at war with Lebanon, it is at war with Hezbollah. Rest assured this market will not resolve without an actual acknowledgement from Hezbollah though
Hezbollah was however known to enter agreements it had no intent to follow. This is a risk to the no side we all should be aware of.
People buying YES on this are from a different species I swear
I know, I know...
is there anyway to leverage these markets or a good platform it?
What the problem just to bet more money?
Lebanon secures a ceasefire in negotiations with Israel. Drafting of the final statement is nearing completion.
Bro calm down. A ceasefire is not qualified
But did Hezbollah agree?
It's a step towards this market
When in their history have Hezbollah or Israel agree to a permanent peace deal ?
Never. I asked ChatGPT before buying no. lol
👍️
if iran usa deal happens israel and hezbollah also be peace too
no wonder you're losing money
Tehran insists that the "phased agreement" with Washington include the Lebanese arena
Is this market about Lebanon as well or about Hezbollah as per the title? I still don't know as the last market I participated in had Hezbollah in the rules without them being relevent (resolved as per title) and there's another Israel x Hezbollah titled market (diplomatic meeting) that seems to be priced based on a meeting between Israel and Hezbollah (and not Lebanon).
Progress in Lebanon-Israel negotiations, with anticipation for Washington's announcement of an agreement between the two sides within hours.
Please, permapeas
For Hizballah there is no peace. Either victory or Death (And I think it's gonna be Death)
As long as Hezbollah continues to exist, there may be a ceasefire agreement, but a permanent peace deal is out of the question
The bet is about signing an agreement. There is no requirement for it to be implemented, permanently or even at all
I turn my head away, price goes up, then I buy the top, and then nothing happens
Perhaps you should learn trading
Hezbollah is apparently ready to negotiate a cease fire. It would be pretty wild if they managed to sign a peace treaty in the span of two weeks. I will be happy to lose my money if they do
It might happen indirectly, via a US-Iran peace deal. Israel-Hamas happened very quickly last year, but then again, this is something different. Who knows, let's see :)
How would such an agreement look like? Status quod ante bellum?
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