GeopoliticsMarkets
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
June 3012%
April 30<1%
April 22<1%
May 31<1%
$7,475,414 Vol.
May 31, 2026
June 30$4M Vol.12%
3%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify. A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met: - Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria. - Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count. The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
is the desktop version of poly64 better than mobile? seen it popping up a few times today
Every one say that it gonna heppend
any price drop from here is a gift to the yes-ers
those who bought yes totally asshole ididot, God let me see some versions ! there is no peace until July, Iran country will collesps In July because of Internal split
I made 300 precent
Shut up.
Trump announced time and place for singing deal very shortly
Peace imminent. Daddy Trump will make Bibi shake hands with the Supreme Leader
Israel didn’t strike in the past 6 hours.
I’m from Israel the Iranian strikes this morning and yesterday are weak and the feeling is that the just want to show that they can strike. If you ask me I will not give this round more than 2 days and we will go to agreement
Trump tweeted few minutes ago that Israel and Iran need to stop shooting immediately.
dis a joke
It is gonna be a Yes, bibi will do whatever it takes to make papa trump happy, it is all about business and relationships.
that relationship is completely the other way around
how come this is not resolved yet?
would be cool if you could leverage these markets with like 10-20x
this is basically a high yield account
when we have 7/31 event
This is a joke! Iran and Israel peace never ever happen!
never ever
ur bonding
Netanyahu is preparing to face parliamentary elections, and signing a permanent peace agreement with Iran now would only have a negative effect on his election.
This is an absurd event.
free money lol
There’s a chance this can resolve to YES
There always is
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
June 30 · Yes
Amount
$
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