GeopoliticsMarkets
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
June 301%
September 30<1%
December 31<1%
October 31<1%
$8,495,261 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
June 30$8M Vol.1%
2%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states. Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify. Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.
same story every time.. yestards confident, outcome surprises them.. Ten poly saw it coming
This is a scam obviously
sharing intelligence,
Neither party can agree to this for political reasons. Best case is a backchannel deal and publicly they keep hating each other.
NOT happening. Israel is dragging its feet, Turkey is sabotaging. Israel wants to keep the territories occupied after 2024, at least until Hezbollah disarms, and guarantees on the Kurds. Turkey wants Israel to leave the territories, keep Hezbollah armed, and the Kurds dead. So... not this year.
bloomberg terminal never lies. Soon...
The Syrians and Israelis have just created a mechanism for sharing intelligence, clearly a yes.
The rules say there should be a "deal". there is no deal at the moment.
What is your Discord?
The statement on a trilateral meeting is not enough for a Yes. It is a diplomatic summary saying the US hosted Israeli and Syrian officials, they reaffirm commitments to security and stability, and they will set up a joint communication and coordination mechanism. It talks about future cooperation and a platform to address disputes, but it does not say there is a formal security agreement, treaty, or accord, does not spell out border terms, normalization, or recognition, and does not clearly define a binding security framework between Israel and Syria.
The joint mechanism is a proactive measure for security between the countries it's not a "de-escalatory" measure
lol is that why you are selling your Yes?
The mechanism that has been established will facilitate immediate and ongoing coordination on intelligence sharing, military de-escalation, and diplomatic engagement. This is a proactive and formalized framework for achieving security and stability between the two countries.
I would like to hear no arguments here
The sides “agreed for a working group to meet on a frequent and ongoing basis,” the senior official said. The two sides are also set to institute confidence-building measures, an Israeli official told the Axios news site. “Both countries expressed a desire to reach a security agreement under President Trump’s vision for the Middle East,” the official said.
[link removed] gg
run it through an llm and you will see its basically an empty statement with no details. so it does not meet the market criteria
you are about to get run over my friend
is that why you (also) sold all your yes position?
[link removed]
PM Netanyahu: "In a good spirit and with an understanding of our principles - it is possible to reach an agreement with the Syrians."
Exclusive: Trump and al-Sharaa to meet "soon" in their fourth meeting. Syrian efforts underway to arrange a visit by the US president to Damascus
similar thing market: polymarket com event/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30?tid=1762781594624
The security agreement between Syria and Israel may be announced at any moment - Syria's representative to the UN
lol
really?
yep but it seems delayed, woundn't buy for now
“An Israeli official told Al Arabiya that a tripartite security committee comprising Israel, the United States, and Syria has been established to monitor border activity between Israel and Syria.“
[link removed]
I'll just leave this here; [link removed]
Y'all are sleepin on this fr
Legendary comeback on Monday when Netanyahu meets Trump. They will manage to agree on Suwaida by then.
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
June 30 · Yes
Amount
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