This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count. A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing. Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify. Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Someone should propose
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Pictures and videos published by the IDF Spokeperson
It's over
que dices?
So propose
Why dont you propose??
Payday
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Where is the proof that this happened past market creation ?
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Clearly said - last week
Thank you very much guys
Hezbollah reportedly cooked an Israeli Merkava tank with an anti-tank guided missile in the settlement of Bayada in southern Lebanon.
[link removed] . Look at the IDF map here. very clear that it's pass the Litani River
Forward Defense Zone ≠ boots behind the line
Hahahaha
Your lack of understanding isn't so good for markets
That has nothing to do with it. This was simply about the map, which on its own would not have been proof.
dispute it then
Are you crazy? We now have more information. The price isn't 99 because of the card, but because of the official announcement.
This market is massively mispriced
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Source: Trust me bro…
"After precise surveillance of an enemy Israeli force attempting to advance into the Khelat al-Raj area, north of Deir Siriane, toward Zoutar al-Sharqiyah at 12:30 PM on Monday, May 4, 2026; upon reaching direct firing range of an advanced security point of the Islamic Resistance fighters, the mujahideen opened fire on the enemy force and engaged in intense close combat, inflicting confirmed losses among its ranks." most recent HZB statement
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no idf confirmation = no bread
Katz to Channel 12: We categorically reject recent reports of operations behind the Yellow Line. In light of the upcoming diplomatic meetings, the IDF is respecting the agreed-upon buffer zone.
Nice that Zawtar, Arnoun, Yohmor, Beaufort castle, are all north of the litani and south of the yellow line (your agreed-upon buffer zone)
תשמע את הראיון בעצמך. אז תבין שאף כוח לא חצה את נהר הליטאני!
The IDF will not cross the Litani River as it views the river as the limit of a buffer zone, said Israel's Defense Minister, Israel Katz
In few hours the market is going to crash! Trump-urand deal will stop the lebanon war!
What changed in the last hours that makes everyone think the market resolved?!
Taking X posts nobodies as sources is a good way to go under on this platform LOL
ragutwo 52 Yes 17h ago [link removed]