July 31$42K Vol.
June 30$336K Vol.
June 15$23K Vol.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The Knesset approved the bill to dissolve the 25th Knesset in its first reading. 106 for, 0 against.
next reading in this weekend or monday.
said who?
u got like 10% chance I would ditch those june 30 ones its going to disolove in july
- The 2022 Dissolution (Bennett/Lapid): The First Reading passed on June 28, 2022. The Second and Third readings passed on June 30. Total time: 2 days. - The 2019 Dissolution (21st Knesset): Following Netanyahu's failure to form a government, the First Reading passed just after midnight on May 28, 2019. The Second and Third readings passed just after midnight on May 30. Total time: roughly 48 hours.
Doesn‘t matter. It’s dissolved when new elections are scheduled. Until that point, the Knesset isn‘t dissolved
The Knesset is dissolved after the Third reading of the dissolution law. Setting the date for the next elections is part of the process and the date is included in the dissolution law text. You can check this out.
The moment the third reading secures a majority (at least 61 votes), the bill becomes a binding law and the Knesset is officially dissolved.
No, it gets dissolved after election :)
that’s the reason it says „sitting“
Knesset Coalition Chairman Ofir Katz: On Monday, the Knesset Committee will hold a discussion and vote on the first reading of the bill to dissolve the Knesset; the bill will also be brought to the plenum on the same day.
BREAKING: Israeli lawmakers advance bill to dissolve parliament
is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, rules unclear is it till june 30 or jan 27
If bibi launche another attack on Iran, YES could plummet , that may be the single biggest variable in this market.
It's funny how clueless people are betting on this market
there is an announcement the orthodox jews want to dissolve. that takes 90 days. so is "June NO" a sure bet? or polymarket can say the moment of announcement could be a yes? this could be free money. even though not a lot of it
If they decide to disolve now it will be disolved within a few days. Then the election campains will take place for 90-150 days during which the current Knesset is still active but is legally disolved. Polymarket would count that as being dissolved too. Free money is never a concept here
New market - https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-likud-of-seats
Hes dead yall
How retarded do you need to be to believe that ?
Muslim levels
If he is dead this will be more likely
Add April market
And right now Kish the minister of education says they are discussing elections on the 1st of September - so Knesset dissolved before 1st of June.
Amit Segal - the top political reporter in Israel: Netanyahu wants elections on 1st of September - which means parliament dissolved before the 1st of June.
Netanyahu does not want elections in October (because of the anniversary) meaning he wants in September meaninf the parliament will be dissolved no matter what before 30 of June.
Please buy more yes so I can take easiest No in my entire life
I am in June you are in March you idiot
Lmao so you think calling me an idiot makes you smart?) Will see you on Apr 1 when I will come to buy no shares after winning)) Oh and I will tell you one more thing to think about, there is a war with Iran is coming, and dissolving parliament after a great win will not help Netanyahu on next elections, so there is only one idiot in this thread )))
Are you retarded not to understand we are not on the same market ?
Bibi does not want elections on October because it will be the third anniversary of the massacre and not good for him, he wants in September and that means dissolving in June because you need 3 months to organize elections in Israel (that's the law). So the probability of the parliament being dissolved before the 30th of June is 99%.
[link removed].il/news/politics/2026-01-28/ty-article/.premium/0000019c-012d-dee6-a1ff-2fff32a30000
EZ
for people that are not aware; the israeli parliament will automatically dissolve if a budget is not passed before the 31st of march at 04:59 PM ET (23:59 pm in israel) after that an election will be held 3 months later on 29/06/2026 and if they do manage to pass a budget an election will be held on 27/10/2026 instead. why would the rest of the parties make huge concession to the ultra Orthodox again just for extra 4 months of governance? it's especially far-fetched when you realize that the ultra Orthodox parties still did not return to the government and there's no telling if they will return by then (they said they will return only if the government passed a law excluding the Ultra Orthodox for military service, a law 80% of the country is against)
THKS
[link removed]