This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of former US national security advisor John Bolton between August 20, and October 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
It's actually crazy that only few people know about this market: "Trump charges member of January 6 committee".
"Charges against John R. Bolton, his former national security adviser who was accused of retaining classified documents, are likely to be filed soon, according to officials, though even Trump critics say that case has merit." Source: New York Times, September 27.
How is this idiot not being charged? He used a private email server that was hacked by a foreign government.