This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris has a 55.1% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin election forecast on October 11, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for October 11 when the datapoint first become available. If no datapoint for October 11 is available by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to October 11.
October 11: Harris 52.0% Trump 47.7% Outcome: No
Someone is resolving this market?
Get the fuck out while you still can. j sayin
There's an insider in this market.
Girl you got that yummy yummy...
Why did the price just drop like a rock?
Not enough time to hit 55% ...ez money NO
Who proposed a resolution