GeopoliticsMarkets
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
August 319%
July 316%
June 303%
June 242%
$53,850,415 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
August 31$42K Vol.9%
3%
July 31$60K Vol.6%
2%
June 30$9M Vol.RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
poly64 just handles the stress for me
Have a nice weekend everybody. The world is watching. :)
3 new deadlines lmao. This market is a gift that keeps on giving.
People used to say the same about a certain market before 28th February.
LMAOOO good luck
Free money lol When the US can achieve its objective simply by blockading the strait, why would it need to launch an amphibious landing on an island that is close to the mainland ?
Yes
The attacks looks like preparation to ground forces
naah
Trump is literally a generator of nonsense.
Just want to push up oil and grow stock
generational no opportunity
From the Halls of Montezuma To the Shores of Tripoli!
Controlling the island in 3 weeks wow
Trump Island
teset
Trump Island.
Trump says Iran shot down an Apache helicopter, adds US will ‘respond’ Trump says Iran has shot down a US helicopter that was patrolling the Strait of Hormuz. “I have just been informed by our Great Military that last night the Iranians shot down one of our highly sophisticated Apache Helicopters while patrolling over the Strait of Hormuz. There were two pilots involved, both are safe and uninjured.” he said on a social media post. “Nevertheless, the United States must, of necessity, respond to this attack.”
Kharg Island has been spilling oil into the Persian Gulf. It is in Americas best interest to secure this island to stop the ecological disaster. (And then I will win money)
Trump doesn’t care about the oil spill issue
Island would be under Iran control for a long time
not sure about this one, Iran really cares about the island
Lmao nikdy. „Ostrov Kharg už není pod íránskou kontrolou“ jsou jen válečné propagandistické řeči.
...
NO
The comments are more entertaining than the market itself
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
August 31 · Yes
Amount
$
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