On March 31, President of the French National Rally parliamentary group Marine Le Pen was sentenced to 4 years in prison, 2 of which are suspended, and fined €100,000. Additionally, she has been banned from running for office for 5 years. She is expected to appeal the case. You can read more about that here: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwyq40yz70qo This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marine Le Pen receives a reduced sentence as a result of a formal appeal decision by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A reduced sentence includes any official change that lessens the severity or length of the original sentence, such as a shorter prison term, a reduced fine, or restoration of Le Pen's eligibility to run for public office. The reduced sentence must apply to the referenced case, where she was convicted of "Abuse of Public Funds". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
I’m leaning No. Those EU fraud cases are notoriously difficult to overturn on appeal unless there was a huge procedural error. She might get a technical win, but a meaningful reduction in the fine is unlikely this month. The appeals court is slow
This is a clear "N" only because the appeal will conclude next year
This persecution is only making her ever more popular. They tried this with Trump and he made the biggest comeback in American Presidential history!
There is no persecution buddy. And she can't run and won't run. If you want to take that bet I'm in.
They did the same to Bolsonaro in Brazil: Cheated him out of an election, staged a riot, and blamed it on him so they could persecute it. Same thing the Democrats tried with Trump. Unfortunately Brazil is much more corrupt than the US so the left is more successful in persecuting Bolsonaro. However, due to this debacle he is now more popular in Brazil than ever before especially as Lula's socialist policies crippled the Brazilian economy.
She embezzled money and was prosecuted by the law she created 🤣
aucune persecution elle a vole 4 million et sa condamnation est plutot sympa par rapport au dossier de 152 page que je t'invite a lire