The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Party of Canada wins a majority of seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
uh we just flipped Terrebonne this is going to be a scam if this gets fixed [link removed]
Canada WON today! Thank you Canadians!
so when does this resolve now that the results are finalized? all the ridings are called now.
many ridings will have recounts. final results may not be known for days/weeks
totally this! was unfair to close this poll
slowly crawling back some cash from last night lets keep it rolling boys
gg
Ok this was exciting for like the first 12 hours but not anymore
Unless someone convinces me that 169+2 = 172, it's over
It doesnt matter if Terrebonne flipped, there are only 2 more in play, and they need 3
where do you watch the score and the ridings?
well one of the close ridings just flipped liberal, 3 more to go for majority. RIP.
What the actual fuck wasn't this supposed to be decided yesterday??
I actually have no effing clue what people are doing here, but im playing the spread and making a few bucks, buying and reselling no, since there is no downside to having some no
I think people are reacting to the Next governement of Canada market, where the rules are different. The rules for the other market is at the start of the assembly, whereas here it's by the number of seats won.
I don't think theese two can ever resolve different
There are still mail-in ballots to be counted, and it’s tight in 11 ridings. A majority is still possible
Need a W here cmon
I dont see how there could be a L here. I'm actually even hoping they win the terrebonne riding, because the Yes would go up again and I would buy more
They just said on CBC sounds like everything is gonna drop at once so gonna be tough to play too many games without getting burned
pack it bro you suck at trading, expect this market
we bought at the same time u retard
im talking about your other trades
You buying a house in Aruba with your massive winnings? A few friends and I split a $100 bet on PP at insane odds I couldnt care less brotha
XD
I had to do some quick research and I missed the no at 88 damn it lol
Lmao
why are they counting so slow
Holy fucking shit no way
you better believe
Also, you guys understand that this market is based solely on number of seats won, no switching over, no alliance. Even if NDP crossed over (like in the other market), it doesnt work here
If the NDP cross the floor, does it count toward a Liberal majority on Polymatket? They don’t have official party status so my understanding is they can’t form a coalition
Honstely, im miffed. The map shows 3 ridings where the vote could flip to the advantage of the Libs, (Terrebonne in QC, Nunavut, and one in BC, and Vancouver Kingsway, which for some reason hasnt been called yet, with one poll left. I dont see the path here. But 3 ridings only make 171?
But whatever, thanks for the extra free dollars