PoliticsMarkets
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?
$545 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Yes$545 Vol.72%
1%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The defense is trying to delay everything. They’re arguing that the security footage release "poisoned the jury pool." They might try to push it to late 2026, but the judge seems like he’s in a hurry to get this moving. He’ll be tried before 2027 for sure.