This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is taken into custody by the U.S. government at any point by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Maduro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Maduro, regardless of location or duration. Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Maduro’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify. A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Maduro submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify. Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Maduro, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government and a consensus of credible reporting.
oie
create market if the Earth is round?
And take weeks to determine if it is true, while flat earth people dispute it.
Clearly a broken system. Too easy to dispute reality. Too long to resolve the disputres.
the age of cognitive decline
People are so impatient lmao
Crazy. Incredible these delays in resolving this market.
ended?
Not yet
Ridiculous to have money tied up so long waiting for a clearly and utterly obvious market to resolve. Fix this Polymarket.
They've already been paraded through the streets as a public spectacle.
We gotta increase the bond for challenging these outcomes, too many people are willing to light a small amount of money on fire
He was extradited by force, blind folded with a one way ticket to the US, hand cuffed. If that's not in custody what is? Not even bet on this
Anyone can challenge any market -- including an obvious market like this -- and it takes days to resolve. There must be a better system.
There must be a better system.
Why are people arguing against this? Lmao
His trip to America does not mean that he was imprisoned.
What man! SURE he is on VACATIONS
I think you're in the wrong market.
[link removed]
no
Segun fuentes la persona que aprezaron fue un doble y no ha maduro por eso no ha salido publico
lmao who is disputing this
can anyone spare some change for legal expenses :(
wow, lucky yes people.
What disturbs me more if the fact this line was created within a 8 hour time frame of him being arrested.
It was created when X was already blowing up about bombs and helos and speculation was running wild
Better rr was buying the us x Venezuela engagement time frames