This market will resolve to "Yes" if the combined weight of the Magnificent Seven stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google (Alphabet Class A and C), Meta, Tesla, and Nvidia) in the S&P 500 index, calculated using the official S&P 500 index weighting formula, falls below 25% on any trading day (using market close prices) by the last day of trading in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be daily closes prices applied to the weighting formula for the S&P 500.
I hope we get a similar market for next year
Mag7 is so oversold that it wont go any further
up 0.25% today
29.41... get ready to lose on this as well
Was 29.4 last week too lmao
Went up 1% today! 😗
Thanks for playing
growing growing and only growing 30.20% now
it actually went from 29.5% to 29.75% while the market went down -10%. interesting!
[link removed]
Uh oh
I guess people are misinterpreting this market. Magnificent 7 need to be under 25% at the end of only ONE trading day in 2025, not to be under 25% on Dec 31th 2025. It changes everything because we only need some volatility to be close to 25% (33% at the moment).
understandable. please bet more!
Link to data source please.
Can we get a link to the calcubater?