This market will resolve to "Yes" if an earthquake with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater occurs within a 50-mile radius of Los Angeles, California (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W) between June 9 and December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Map (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=32.54681,-121.05835&extent=35.63944,-114.90601). For the purposes of this market, The epicenter must fall within 50 miles of Los Angeles (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W), calculated as a straight-line distance from the epicenter to the reference point. If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Hope not, but I'm ready for it. I think there's a good chance because the tectonic plates don't care about the calendar. If it does hit, it will be the Newport-Inglewood fault, not the San Andreas. Everyone better have their water supply ready.
t's always possible, since LA is overdue for The Big One, but the odds of a major $6.5+$ happening in just the next six weeks are statistically pretty low.
Is a M6.5+ overdue? Absolutely. We live right on top of the damn San Andreas Fault, and the Big One is coming at some point.
Los Angeles hit by magnitude 6.8 earthquake in November 2025, causing widespread damage.
Earth Hydrogen Cycle Theory and Impact Geology Hypothesis
Yea
yes
No
No comments? why