A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater. This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on earth between October 1 and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake hazards program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until November 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
We are due! Considering the planetary geometry, I estimate around the 18th of October!
27th
I estimate 2027.
cold
I will bet no every month. At these odds I'm sure to win over the long term.
Mike the famous knight 🥷
Don't tell the ludomaniacs about math. They can get wise and then it will be harder to make money from them.
There is one every 17 months, so a 6% chance of one in any particular month. So why buy at 9-10%. That's just throwing money away.
I hadn't seen all the preparations that Indonesia is working on and the recent events in Japan :( Thinking about closing this.
Preparing doesn't mean it will happen. In last 25 years, there's been one every 17 months on average.
Study earth mini earthquakes are the appetisers (scroll down)
You need to become 1 with nature and allow nature to speak too you know the answer to this one. How? You may ask, well the answer is simple sit in your garden naked and become one with the grass and let the earth speak to you. You will hear it angry - October the 27th 🥺
When all animals and birds disappear, you know one is coming in the next few days.