This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between August 25 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify. The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. Only the imposition of sanctions on Russia by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Russia (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Russia unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Is it decided
crazy you can bet on something that already happened
Will be adopted tomorrow 8am, if no objections come up
EU reached final agreement on the 19th package of sanctions against Russia, official adoption is expected within hours at the EU summit scheduled for October 23th. - Reuters
does this count lmk
So Slovakia just got effed by the EU with the interdiction of russian gas starting 2026. Do you really think it will lift the veto on the 19th package?
You may be right
Von der Leyen just gave Fico what he wanted. [link removed]
EUROPEAN COUNCIL SAYS AGREED TO GRADUALLY END RUSSIAN GAS IMPORTS, WITH FULL BAN BY 1 JANUARY 2028
is the ban on lng not sanctions?
Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.
afaik they'll have trade restrictions passed at minimum, because it's majority vote that can't be vetoed
yes but its not final yet, must still pass the EU parliament
@Extrawelt nice fast click, 5 more seconds and i would've got those shares :)
Let's see if they can also flip Slovakia/Fico. I think that's pretty much unlikely, since the package is specifically aimed at LNG and energy, which would be unacceptable for Fico in light of rising energy costs and dependence on Russian gas without suitable countermeasures/financial compensation.
Already done bro
I thought only Austria had withdrawn its veto? Fico justified his veto just three days ago.
so apparently Austria is blocking adoption of the sanctions atm.. [link removed]
yup! i think weve got this one in the bag. The EU moves slow. its gonna take some work to flip Austria.
Check the Iran sanctions. 2 days timeframe to be in effect
Told u guys,,,
these things take time.. theta decay will set in very quick,,
I beg u please buy more yes so i can buy no cheaper please please please believe in EU ofc they will approve sanctions buy yes yes yes yes yes just buy yes believe in euggas
Greedy goy
They won't even discuss it on 26th: [link removed]
Even if they discuss it today, they won’t have enough time to adopt it. I don’t understand what the YES holders are hoping for.
The question is targeting fomo
Another important detail. It’s been proposed to ban any deals with Rosneft and Gazpromneft. Do you really think they’ll reach an agreement with Hungary and Slovakia by the end of the month? Especially against the backdrop of strikes on the Druzhba oil pipeline. Good luck, YES holders
babe u a yes holder btw
Lol. The first meeting is on the last Friday of the month. I think NO will soon be worth over 90c.
EU countries will hold their first meeting to discuss the 19th package of sanctions against Russia on September 26.
Pure rumour.
September 26 - EU countries will hold the first meeting to coordinate the European Commission’s proposed 19th package of sanctions against Russia.
They won’t be able to adopt it the first time. The sanctions definitely won’t be approved before October.
People are confusing whether the EU will pass sanctions (they will) with how fast they will pass them (not in less than 2 weeks, this is the EU)
The past 4 took about a week from announcement, and this time around they already have money lined up to pay off Hungary and Slovakia.