This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2025, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2025, scheduled for release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on January 30, 2026, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2025, which provides the initial full-year 2025 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
how does it resolve?
"GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025, will be released Feb. 20 at 8:30 a.m"
This is a risk free bond.
You may even get tired of winning! And you'll say, 'Please, please. It's too much winning. We can't take it anymore. Mr. President, it's too much winning!'