PoliticsMarkets
Netanyahu out by...?
December 3153%
June 301%
March 31<1%
April 30<1%
$122,194,681 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31$1M Vol.53%
3%
June 30$6M Vol.1%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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The sheer volume here shows that traders are betting against Netanyahu's resilience; however, the March 31 outcome seems overly optimistic given his current grip on power and the political landscape. Expect a more gradual decline—June 30 feels like a safer bet as opposition gains traction but struggles to consolidate.