PoliticsMarkets
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
December 3110%
January 9<1%
January 31<1%
$2,647,454 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
December 31$252K Vol.10%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No chance folks
he is even allowed to eat ice cream, does it count?
Maduro will be exchanged to 8 Iranian women
WATCH: Rapper 6ix9ine claims that former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro signed his SpongeBob toy while they were both being held at the Metropolitan Detention Center in New York.
what if he dies?
...any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
He will testify about Dominion Voting Systems and be set free afterward.
Poor Maduro is not seeing the light of day again.
Noriega part 2.
I'm hoping he gets gifted to another country.
next hearing is in march. nothing nothing is going to happen until march, sell yours as quick as you can
You guys are talking about him dying in prison, but the rules say nothing about a scenario where Venezuela kidnaps him from a New York prison and brings him back. Or at least he somehow escapes
hold my beer
dice es liberado del sistema penitenciario ... asi que cuenta
Qingke Zhanshou Shouxia Danggou.
HE IS RELEASED LETS FING GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO [link removed]
i click this like 3 times today omg 🤣
MIAU
HAHAHA I shouldn't be clicking in links, have a good day bro
I hope he gets house arrest that's the only chance
Bro, why do you need so much money?
43k if you win i hope you do
hmmm
It's possible to be detained for a year without any legal proceedings.
Poly team can you clarify what happens if he dies? To me sounds like dies=Not released
yeah
Trump would release him from custody because... (It's not a hard one guys)
tell me! tell me!
He is unethical.
Bad boys bad boys, what you gonna do
Are you good or are you evil? Do you understand the meaning of these words? I can explain if you do not.
you're a losing trader thanks for the free money
If the resolution is by Jan 31, why is December 31 an option. It's a guaranteed No isn't it? Shouldn't the release dates be before the resolution date?
You're probably looking at the wrong date. The endDate is January 31st 2026.
They will release him on certain conditions. The. Wont
December 31st is a very interesting line. Selling on some news
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
December 31 · Yes
Amount
$
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