This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between January 1 and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Silver (SI) hits ↑ $100 - US x Venezuela military engagement - FED rate cut Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/January.pdf