This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: -Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire -Xi Jinping is removed from power -The Fed cuts rates -US and Iran agree to a nuclear deal -Israel strikes Iran Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+I.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+II.png
nigabusiness
didnt israel strike iran?
i think that happened no?
nvm, that was june
3Dolla
there really should be more conditions then those 5 because something seems to be happening
i thinks this is like a loto more than a bet
like all the other one where pretty hard and the other one hit 2 time
wrong lol. nothing ever happens
Israel is invading Syria right now, that is something.
Look at the conditions retard
didnt know it had those especific conditions, fuck this then, i sold everything, looks like you got this then
Don't you think you should be doing safer bets? You would actually be more profitable...
My breasts are a little different in size
whore stays away
Nope
wait did this bet change? I swear it had elon make a new party in it
Yes and he did, that's why there is a new one now
so its a whole new bet?
Yes
still gonna be no lmfao may as well buy in again
Easy no lock lowkey
This market is monthly passive income for no holders. Here's a simple breakdown might be too simple idk. [Rus-UK Ceasefire has ~8% so] 0.92 * [Xi removed ~1%] 0.99 * [Fed cut ~50%] 0.50 * [Iran Deal ~7%] 0.93 * [Israel strikes iran ~13%] 0.87 = 0.37 or 37% outcome of YES at this time. No is massively undervalued. Goodluck to everyone!
you're forgetting correlation
I rated the fed cut at 50% what do you mean 93 lmao
you're forgetting that nothing ever happens bro
but something happened...
wat hap
there is something happening all the time, so yeah, not sure what the criteria for this is.