Yes$61K Vol.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
last circuit breaker before covid was in the 1990's, good luck yes holders
but they change rule , it was need 10% , now only 7%
With the level of optimism that we have in the market, we will probably have one in the middle of 2026, it is just that the risk and illiquidity still doesn't justify anyone jumping into this. There is no certainty but there is a possibility for it to happen otherwise it would be already priced in
why do u just arbiatrily exclude covid like its not part of a data poit
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