This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between January 1 and market close on December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
follow the money not the noise, works every time on these markets
the pnl heavy accounts started moving on this way earlier than expected
Markets are too focused on the Santa Rally, and the Fed is too ready to step in if things get crazy. It takes a true Black Swan event like a major war or a total banking freeze to hit that Level 1 drop.
Markets are too focused on the Santa Rally, and the Fed is too ready to step in if things get crazy. It takes a true Black Swan event like a major war or a total banking freeze to hit that Level 1 drop.
A Level 1 circuit breaker was reportedly triggered on April 7, 2025, which temporarily halted futures trading and led to an initial sharp drop in US markets following the announcement of new tariffs by the US government.
Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.
vega is up lil bro
Circuit breakers trigger at 15%
I thought 7%?
Market down 1.5% again. I'm assuming because it's August and stock traders are selling their portfolios as part of spring cleaning
Market down 1.5% but I actually feel good about this one. War is good for the economy. Calls
Trump will freak the fuck out this evening about the #TACO meme and demand a total halt on the 90 day pause. This bet cashes tomorrow, easy
This is a dangerous bet, remember when we were supposed to get a circuit breaker this year (I forgot when) it down 5% but nothing happened.
It is dangerous but there's a lot of time for market to get spooked. More tariff bullshit on the way, war somewhere escalates, government shutdown, etc.
Market down -1% in overnight trading due to stockholders being too distraught about Biden cancer news to trade
For the first time in its history, Moodys has downgraded the credit rating of the United States from AAA to AA1 .
Market is -1% right now. Will go down another 6% (devil’s number) due to the paranoia and apocalyptic thinking triggered by the Pope’s death #PopeDump
I have to echo the comment about this moving up and down (and the comments) like it's a weekly option or something. This bet lasts the whole year. There's plenty of time for more chaos to emerge.
Bring the fire
Don’t blame gamblers looking for quick easy money. But Yes only needs to be right once for the entire rest of the year to win this bet
Currently at -1.54% in overnight trading
“Lets foucking go !!!!” - Deadpool
Hopefully today will be the day we hit them... China just raised the tariffs... trump may respond and adding a 200 - 250 % tariff may bring a full market panic
If not today, there’s a whole nine months. It’s a good bet
yep i agree
Trump backed down on the worldwide tariffs because he realized the damage on the economy was too great to sustain. He will take the same approach with the China tariffs should they risk collapsing the economy. The administration has already shown where it isn't willing to risk, therefore it's a safe bet there will not be a circuit breaker in the next 90 days at least
there will definitely be one. i'm buying more
You've lost even more money on this website than I have
yup
-3.35% today, it's not reaching 7
avg 51.1 danke
Spookyyyyyy