Yes$80K Vol.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
I would say this is a freeroll for NO. If AGI really comes this website and money wouldn’t mean anything
its not about AGI creation, its about announcement, which is very different nowdays
NVIDIA annouced they achieved AGI, now the next's like OpenAI will follow. 100% free money..
Nvidia announced, no the next's will follow
We already have AGI
Hahahaha
Anyone who pays taxes does, yes.
Feels unlikely. The term 'AGI' feels quite unfashionable now in 2026. Also, Sam Altman has expressed doubts of the utility of the term, and OpenAI and Microsoft have signed new agreements saying that OpenAI can't unilaterally declare that they achieved AGI without it being vetted by a panel of experts. In any case, OpenAI's main goal now is profitability.
Would make the odds much more reliable if this was included in the 4% annual payout program for long duration markets
Most free 19% return I've seen so far. However, waiting for a year for this to resolve will be painful...
Half way there
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