This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI shifts from its current capped-profit corporation structure to a for-profit model by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any form of fully for-profit organization—including a Benefit Corporation (B-Corp), Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), or a modification to its existing structure to remove profit caps—will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. If the OpenAI non-profit relinquishes control over the for-profit business, this will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An announcement indicating that OpenAI is merely considering the shift will not suffice; the change must officially occur. The primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
wtf
Why is outcome being decided now if it hasn't officially gone into effect yet?
Profit cap is gone so that’s gonna do it
Think they have to convert this year. GPT-5 is a bust, they will need more funding. Only one stopping them is Microsoft who won’t budge on the equity adjustment.
gpt 5 is a serious piece of kit, my agency uses the premium version and has multiple accoutns. i highly doubt that
The release of gpt-5 should have given OpenAi the 1B monthly active users on its platform. So, obviously it’s not that good for the free and medium tier to get more users aboard.
OMG what happend?
Ofc but when?
imagine betting yes
:)
cooked. GG thank you for playing
🤪
OpenAI walked back part of its effort to create a more conventional for-profit company, but its restructuring plans still have not received the blessing of a major stakeholder: Microsoft [link removed]
OpenAI’s planned transition would satisfy the market rules because it replaces the capped profit LLC with a fully for profit public benefit corporation using ordinary stock and no profit cap. We just have to wait for the official transition before the deadline. The PBC change is moving ahead and investors expect it by the end of the year, because the SoftBank money depends on it. Some news headlines were misleading as "dropping the plan" because they focused only on OpenAI keeping nonprofit control and ignored that the for profit conversion is still going ahead.
perfectly balanced
50/50
[link removed]