This market will resolve to “Yes” if Paetongtarn Shinawatra ceases to be the Prime Minister of Thailand for any period of time between July 25 and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Paetongtarn Shinawatra's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Thailand, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
this was a fun one, gg everyone.
Essay
Rip
Light punishment for treason
As expected, gg!
GG
gg guys its over
Live court hearing complete, she got acquitted, all in now
convicted*
lol what happening yes price 82 and now 53
interesting
Coin flip market
Not at all
She is done for in my opinion. What makes no-holders believe otherwise?
1. Her father has been acquitted. 2. The military is no longer opposing her. It feels like everything is moving toward her resuming the role of prime minister. We can discuss it and see your reasoning.
Her father was acquitted of charges of defaming the monarchy, not the same charges she is being acussed of…
Its not going to be up to the people, it depends what the court's verdict is which is prob as close as the odds in this bet right now
Here's my take: 1. History: the Court has repeatedly ruled against Shinawatra-linked parties. 2. Establishment Pressure: military/conservative elites oppose her. 3. Precedent: Conviction aligns with the Courts role in curbing populist/reformist
Stop using chatgpt instead of your brain
lets all in buddy
I did, did you?
what did you mean by this
Hi just checking in what’s happening here?
Hi, basically waiting trial decision supposedly for Aug 29. She gave her testimony ~20Aug and yesterday her father was acquitted of a prior case (he was also thai PM long ago)
Not so invested in the market so I wouldnt take my word for it but y
Some nice shares available to the correct side
Haha yup! Had an order to buy "NO" at 20c but i didnt get filled
The Criminal Court today acquitted former Thai prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra
Is it related to this market?
Not really, he was acquitted of charges of defaming the monarchy back in 2015…
OMG what happend
7: 2. Our chances of winning are very high
where did u get that number?
“Thaksin, known for his strategic manoeuvres, allegedly continues to leverage his resources to influence Paetongtarn's trial's outcome. The judges are anticipated to reach a narrow decision, possibly 5:4 or 6:3 in favour of the prime minister, who has been temporarily barred from performing her duties pending the court's decision.“
“Pheu Thai grows confident Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra can survive the Constitutional Court challenge over her Hun Sen call, insisting it aimed to protect Thais, preserve peace and serve national interests as the August 29 verdict approaches.“
Poor liquidity
The court set the date for the 29 and will not move it. The news about a 6month delay was circulating before the decision for the 29 as date. Even if they don’t testify it will be consider as them refusing to exercise their right.