In February 2025 (FYTD) there were 28,654 border encounters, the lowest on record (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are less than 28,654 for June 2025 (FYTD). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first report of data for June 2025, regardless of future revisions. If no data is posted for June 2025 (FYTD) by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
Should be yes with 80-90% but not 98%. Most likely value is around 26k
This is clearly moving to yes - homeland security said “ The data speaks for itself: From June 1 -22 of this year, apprehensions totaled 5,414 while just one month ago in May, U.S. Border Patrol apprehensions were 9,577”
THE TRUMP EFFECT - Total Border Patrol encounters for the entire month of June 2025 was 6,070. That is less than a single day under Biden. As a matter of fact, the total number of encounters is less than half of a single day under Biden on many days. Also, none of the 6,070 were released into the U.S. ZERO. President Trump has created the most secure border in the history of the nation and the data proves it. We have never seen numbers this low. Never. God bless the men and women of the US Border Patrol and God bless the men and women of ICE. The interior arrests and consequences help to drive down illegal immigration. The TRUMP EFFECT keeps America winning. ~ Thomas D. Homan U.S. Border Czar
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finally, some smart people that read contract
Interesting thats 80% for yes, how come ?