According to uselectionatlas.org there were 158,594,895 votes cast in 2020 Presidential election (see: https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are 158,594,896 or more votes cast in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the total number of votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
What's with the "Total Ballots Counted" column being blank the last few days on [link removed]...? Prediction: Due to the high level influence of Polymarket, they are going to keep it blank until December 18, then post a total ballot count number that is higher than last time.
It seems to be in the CSV download
Ah... I never downloaded that. So... 156302318 is what I see there?
Seems so.
Is there any new news?
done, its imposible to get 3 millions in less than 10 days
156,252,813 according to [link removed].edu/2024-general-election-turnout/
dont be delusional its done there is no way they find more than 2 millions votes in 10 days
then sell your shares instead of spamming your crys in comments lol
I am not crying. I don't care but I don't like fake propaganda
there is no 'fake propoganda', that site is reputable and he was merely stating the current count they have
154,856,834
Its done men ill just hold for the meme
Why do you say done?
Because it's impossible there is only 250.000 votes left to count and we need nearly 3 millions
it wasn't :/
Ok I know I lose this one but I am just a chill guy
Side question: can anyone explain the non American how 7.8% of the vote was by non citizens in a federal election? What am I missing?
You are misreading it.
All 156,252,813 votes are from citizens. They are calculating the turnout by finding number of eligible voters which is voting age population * (100% - 7.88% non-citizen) - Felons + Overseas
156m and counting ... this market can not remain in denial much longer
source?
[link removed].edu/2024-general-election-turnout/
holy bro im getting hot
Good for us that it stays that way :)
But don't you have to subtract the 2.6m "ineligible felon" from the total? Or am I missing something?
But the source for this market is: 154,856,834
Around 154,818,000. At least it is 5% chance to win.
How did you calc 5%?
Hello rich guys. I am poor and want to buy bitcoin, send me some money so I become like you guys. I will pray for flying spaguetti and trisolarians if you do.
Aren't you ashamed? You have 40 bucks! You're already rich enough
was a joke
as was his response lol
154,726,437
154,725,783
All in time
Ahahah u good 😂 Just in time
3,860,867 to go
+300k votes today, 90.2% reporting.
Source?
votes are the official source for resolution of this thread, precincts reporting here [link removed]
That source shows lower than 152 mil currently
you're more than welcome to scrape the data yourself it's not far off, and if you check [link removed] you can clearly see we are at 154,733,885 even though others have higher numbers than this as well. Precincts reporting at 90% doesn't necessarily mean we're at 90% of the count as I'm sure you know..
Hmm
154,612,824
I hope
154,578,810 A LITTLE HOPE, source: [link removed]
According to specialized analysts we are slightly above 159 million vottes, which means it's already a win.
source?
check data, look at the average participation rates over the past five years for the missing city that havn't yet finished counting. We exceed 159m on a low range
[link removed]
154,374,291
154,406,770
154,429,231
154,429,610
154,573,959
source?
154,484,805
As of 11/25/2024, it is now 154,500,000. Just under 4,100,000 votes remain
It is hard bro but I believe
Source?
cookpolitical bro