This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Government of Russia officially publicly announces an air truce or ceasefire, or announces a suspension, pause, limitation, or cessation—whether full or partial—of airstrikes, including missile, drone, or aerial bomb attacks, in Ukrainian territory by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify regardless of if/when the policy goes into effect. Agreements which are not publicly confirmed by the Russian government will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the Government of Russia.
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wtf happened to muh sweet precious air trooce?
not at these prices, can get literal bonds with him meeting trump for the same price
tomorrow is the day for muh sweet precious AIR TROOCE
muh sweet precious AIR TRUCE
Dw guys, Putin told me Russia would withdraw all troops from Ukraine and there will be an air truce for the next 150 years.
scammed again
No info either from Ukraine
People are pumping the price because of a tweet from an unknown person, lol!
What person ?
No information has been received from Russia, lol, why are you pumping it?
How are you, psycho?
whos your position doing?
Journalist Oliver Carroll says that there is a provisional agreement of an air ceasefire until 3-way leaders meeting.
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cheers relay
No deal. No new meeting scheduled. It's not happening any time soon
EASY MONEY
Donald wtf :D
lol
who is on the button?)
false alarm, there are no huge attacks
Bottom line: a unilateral ceasefire in the air and on selected sections of the front, with a clear expectation of mirrored steps by Ukraine; small pilot projects and a draft deal on resource extraction and Arctic development; possibly limited sanctions relief in small amounts and the removal of some tariffs on India. Overall, the main focus would be on post-war cooperation.
Every time you see major events like this, the first takeaway is that both sides have some sense of where the dialogue is heading and what agreements can be reached. This is evident from leaders' conversations and media leaks. The Trump administration is much more open and leaks far more internal information to the media than the Biden administration less security discipline and less caution. Trump wants peace; Putin wants concessions from the West. Investment and sanctions relief could be strong bargaining chips, but steps from Russia will be expected before such topics are discussed seriously. A halt to ground combat in Donbas is almost certainly not going to be discussed, and it's just as clear that Putin would like an aerial ceasefire. He may also agree to stop hostilities on specific sectors of the front, for example, everywhere except Luhansk and Donetsk, while expecting a symmetrical response from Ukraine. Seeking a deal, Trump will push Ukraine to agree; otherwise it will look bad for Kyiv. The next meeting will likely be in September to allow time to see how a partial truce works, while Putin drags out the clock to capture the rest of Donbas. He may also want to close a deal sooner if Donbas is handed over without a fight. That seems quite likely at the final summit and in a meeting with Zelensky: there's little point in fighting for territory that would end up with Russia by year's end if a deal can be made now.