This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Russian Armed Forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Kyiv municipality's soil by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Russian Armed Forces that impact Kyiv municipality's ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Kyiv municipality counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Kyiv municipality's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Russian armed forces will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
NO NO NO
"Drone-related explosions were also heard in Kyiv at 10:50 p.m." but the problem is was it shot down or did it hit anything by itself - we don't know
the problem is that was 1 drone and usually government doesn't share exact place it hit to not give info to the enemy, if it hit non-residential building
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I live in Kyiv, I heart this dron
can you tell us what was hit by the drone so we can search and confirm ground impact?
1. Kyiv, not Kyiv oblast 2. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Kyiv municipality's territory or cause damage.
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Definitely out of the Kyiv municipality
do u have some proofs? maybe map? with municipality borders?
NO is the default position - it's for YES to prove that there was a strike. But the proof of the fact there was no strike in the municipality is that Ukraine is very good at the propaganda war in the West, and would love to publicise an attack on NYE.
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Have you looked at the source for that? https://t DOT me/kievreal1/107911
Correct, it was one drone which exploded in the area of Kyiv municipality
Buy more YES :) .
how about you suck my balls?
When this end?
EET+48hrs, plus a little time for a whitelisted person to propose.
Ok I think it's time to propose no
Explosion in Kyiv was between 22:50-22:52 local time
"The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers."
no problem, let's wait 48 hours, buy more no's
Shall do :)
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blasts are confirmed by another one Ukranian tg-channel, "stranaua" , once again, before the deadline
This market, finished by tes. You will see
Sounds more like an exploding firecracker...
Unknown if blasts occurred, seems minor based on live updates from X. Will wait for credible reporting, everyone's asleep or celebrating new years to work on this lol.
Yep we'll know in the next 48 hours if anything happened
Explosions were heard in Kyiv
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
An air raid alert is in effect across the capital as blasts are heard
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right now siren n Kyiv
[link removed] , [link removed] multiple Ukranian TG channels are also reporting about drones
Might be last minute hit
Air raid alert in Kyiv now. Up to 8 drones; could be first wave.
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