GeopoliticsMarkets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3145%
October 3130%
June 303%
May 31<1%
$3,639,395 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31$2M Vol.45%
2%
October 31$233K Vol.30%
1%
June 30$824K Vol.RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement. Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify. If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ukrainian scumbags always starting some shit, never take responsibility, always blaming the Russians SMH
congrats on recovering losses, time for some steak after many months of egg noodles with ketchup
Thanks man 😊
did it on the easy mid east markets, now im gonna use the money to get revenge on russia captures!
haha, it has been a hard time to be a Z guy recently. Do you have discord or tg? mind if we connect there?
polydoubles coming im clutch for these markets im not familiar with
Intensive firefights have begun in the Kramatorsk area and in the supply lines to Sumy. The summer offensive is progressing rapidly and will continue until the autumn thaw. Perhaps in the coming weeks, we will see requests from Kyiv for a ceasefire to allow resupply to the trapped units. But I doubt the summer offensive has the right to pause.
Want to make money on this deal? Vote No untill 2030
Xmace truce and you lose
Putin rejected Zelensky's letter, which he wrote while in an altered state. Afterward, Trump said, "Let them sort out the war themselves." I think it's all clear.
Boring market
Trying to call the winner here while the weather-bot crowd is apparently pulling 250%+ on the weather markets lol
wait the weather-bot thing is real? 250%+ on the weather markets sounds insane, where are people even running these
A scandal erupted at the Uzhhorod TCC. An inspection raid revealed the conditions in which mobilized citizens were being held. Many were handcuffed to the walls.
Ukraine is the biggest scam ever, all they want is our money, never give anything in return, just whining and bitching. So ENTITLED.
you need to take your meds
🚨 UKRONAZI DETECTED!!!
Your mom is scum
We give and give and give, so that Ukrainian oligarchs can buy yachts. SMH
Polymarket is a scam, don't give them your money, otherwise they'll steal it
😭 😭 😭 sour loser!
Hopefully some new type of super weapon gives the green light, its over for Ukraine!
Да, ещё 3-4 дня, и всю Украину завоюете, мы знаем
English MF!
Which is?
A mysterious green light can be seen in Zaporizhzhia City following Russian missile strikes.
Ukraine such a burden to the rest of the world, such freeloaders, so entitled SMH
People, we need to send a letter to Todd Blanche in LinkedIn. He is the Acting Attorney General of the United States in department of justice. This SCAMMarket should be closed.
I wrote to Ban Ki-moon!
Pro-russian dummies with low iq are extremely active. Return better to your vodka with seledka
Pro-ukraine dummies Are low IQ son
return to your carrots silly rabbit! 🥕
WATCH: Very sad final footage from a girl inside the Lugansk dorm while the AFU was striking her building Dasha desperately calls for help as nonstop explosions and drone buzz fills the air Dasha was not among the survivors
Who can trust this market after Polymarket rugged everyone with the May 9 "ceasefire." It resolved YES. And the next day the markets opened again for when will there be a ceasefire? If there was a ceasefire why are these markets still open. Kinda shamless.
WATCH: These are 21 innocent souls taken away following Ukrainian drone strikes on a college in Luhansk
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31 · Yes
Amount
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