This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between January 2 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
gamble
this is obviously a no. I think this is taking money, not much unfortunately, from people who project their american desires into UK politics.
Keir Starmer, or Keir Stalin as he would be better known, is a paedophile supporting, free-speech hating lunatic.
you should bet on the paedo maniac losing power pretty soon! Don't let anyone stop you!
I love polymarket. So many unhinged people willing to bet on their wacky-woo ideas.
Disastrous local elections might do it
test
One fuck up in 6 months and you double your money on these odds.
Kier and Trump besties! [link removed]
Even at only 12-13%, this is an incredibly unhinged price. With a massive majority, no election on the horizon, no huge known scandal, and so early in his tenure, the chance of Starmer leaving office is tiny. This should be 2-3%, literally.
Child rape scandal would be one. That is not going away. He’s also just a f*ckin moron like Trudeau.
I wish I had enough funds to bond this and make it worthwhile lol , such stupid pricing lol
guys i think starmer is out till july. Because after the us election every big country like germany, soon in france and of course in britain will be a new election too. Trust King Elon!
he's out till july then back in. got it. all hail the king!
Britain won't have election for another 4 years.
So many Americans here think they actually understand what's happening in Britain - Let me make it clear, you don't.
buy no
what did you buy?
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Given the bond market atm I would not discount this
yes it wont be the groomer thing but the economy or the combination of both.
in 2025 everythink is possible.
You guys do know 100 MP's of his own party would have to turn on him for this to happen? The guy could probably slap King Charles for a laugh and still be in power in July
He’s going nowhere.
Alex Jones
Key Pressure Points: His position as CPS Director (2008-2013) during critical years of the scandal The article cites a particularly damaging case from 2009 where his CPS dropped prosecution despite DNA evidence Former detective Maggie Oliver directly states he is "as guilty as anyone" Notable quote about "credibility issues" with victims could resurface Current Political Context: His role as PM puts him under intense scrutiny Opposition from both Conservatives (Kemi Badenoch) and Reform UK Internal Labour tension over minister Jess Phillips refusing inquiry requests Elon Musk's intervention has dramatically raised international attention Historical Precedent Analysis: Looking at past UK political scandals, direct involvement in institutional failures (rather than just policy disagreements) has historically been more likely to force resignations. The closest parallel might be Home Secretary Amber Rudd's resignation over the Windrush scandal, though that was more immediate policy failure rather than historical involvement.
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Who might replace Keir Starmer as a PM?