December 31$3M Vol.
October 31$347 Vol.
August 31$8K Vol.
July 31$204K Vol.
June 30$6M Vol.
June 15$395K Vol.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Starmtroopers hold firm
Oh no, the defence secretary resigned. Whatever shall I do!
sell everything you are cooked !
another one bites the dust 💨✨
"If there is a contest then I'm going to fight it. I'm not going to walk away. I am going to fight to win." - Starmer today according to BBC Newsnight. Doesn’t sound like a bluff to me…
If you drop your discord I'll genuinely tell you why you're wrong. Otherwise I suggest filling me at 12c
That's a relief, I was worried you knew something important we didn't.
😂
If you're trying to desperately dump all of them, I'll buy the 147k No at 80/you buying 147k yes at 20.
Stop pocket watching Domer 😂
Can any of the June 30 yes guys give me a reason how this would be possible? He said this morning for the 10th time in weeks he is not walking away. So if Burnham wins on the 18th and somehow manages to get 80MPs to agree to a leadership contest it would have to end in under two weeks? Am I the only one who sees this as totally impossible…
He might say that im not taking part in a leadership challenge and will accept its winner or I'm resigning after x date ...
He was asked this morning about Burnham challenging him in a leadership race, and directly said “I am not going to walk away”…that comes across to me as he most definitely would take part in a leadership challenge and he is not resigning.
Bluffing obviously. He's not gonna say "I'll resign when a challenge starts" even if it was his plan
What if his cabinet resigns on the 19th?
Link?
Just as Cameron, May, Truss, or Johnson did
Late August is the absolute minimum. There is not a single chance the full leadership challenge and vote will happen before late August
gang shouldi trade on this market
no
starmer is going to announce his resignation in the first 10 days of june
Thanks for letting us know. Now we just need to know how you know that -- and why you haven't bought Yes on June 15th yet.
i'm all in on no may 31st right now. will buy yes june 15th once this resolves
Ahh yes the oracle w lifetime -400 PnL 😂
You realize you could sell those at 98c, instead of waiting four days during which your price of june 15th might go up -- especially if people were to believe your advice?
Your rationale @pugdev? I am on the opposite side to your position.
Starmer has explicitly stated he has no intention to resign within the last couple weeks. Also, the Labour MPs who are calling for him to leave are totally divided, without unified opposition he isn’t going anywhere
What about after the by-election?
wanna talk in dms?
This is a scam obviously
Weirdly enough, Tenpoly gets more interesting when everyone agrees too much.
scammer
Please add a Sept Market as that's the most relevant
Yolft predictive intelligence has over 60% chance of it happening before June end.
Starminator cannot be defeated
Gay Stalin will try to do a Stalin..
Are you wating? Waiting waht? New Hodges news?
TOM IS BACK GUYS @tomtoldme
Just the voting process will take at least two weeks. If the MP voting takes place in 18th, he wins the same day and starts the challenge still doesn't make it to the June 30.
Rule said, it doesn't need to wait for all those. Just his announcement of resignation/removal is suffice, regardless of when it goes into effect.
he won't resign
His cabinet might resign same day thus forcing same day resignation, Wes drops out and Andy gets coronation
The only real risk here is Burnham is elected and it is clear her has the numbers to win a contest, Starmer might set out a timetable to resign rather than go through with a vote he will lose
Tomorrow (I will also comment "tomorrow")
You're jinxing yourself because tomorrow never comes
There is always a tomorrow
I'm looking for friends to gamble in Polymarket, discuss and have fun in the trenches. Send me friend request to join my 1 man server
just join the official server
And where I meet people bro
server is called polymarket
in discord ?
in discord ??
yes
Lovely Jubly kier i lubb uu
Did this really pump off of a Daily Mail article? :p
yes💀i blame dan hodges