This market will resolve to "Yes" if a motion of no confidence passes in the Canadian House of Commons while Justin Trudeau is serving as prime minister between December 15, 2024, and March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Motions of no confidence that are voted on but do not pass the House of Commons will not count toward the resolution of this market. If Justin Trudeau ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time prior to a motion of no confidence passing, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This can resolve now if someone wants to propose a resolution. Trudeau is no longer Prime Minister
“ We will be voting against the government at the end of March,” Singh said at a press conference in Sault Ste. Marie, Ont. He repeated that line several times when pressed by journalists on the tight timeline.”
"Court rejects Government argument that Prorogration challenge isn't urgent!"
Fun fact though: There is technically no codified definition of the position we call the Prime Minster of Canada. Not in ANY legal document in the country. In retrospect, the disaster that Canada is now was inevitable -- No flag for a hundred years, no constitution for even longer, and the entire structure founded on largely unwritten convention. So regal, yet so slapdash haha
Trudeau confirmed today he will resign. That means that this market will resolve to NO, waiting only for the formalities. There is not going to be a non confidence vote anymore. [link removed]
"...ceases to be Prime Minister..." and I guess he's technically still prime minister.
Trud'au chomage
Given his chance of not resigning by Friday are like 10%. no is a bargoon here
Bye bye Truman
jags pension has ripened
i think he said he is going to vote non conf, but we cant trust anything this guys says
Jag will likely wait for his pension, then support no confidence. Political suicide if he continues supporting Trudeaus gov. until end of 2025 (current date of election)
He's gone. He'll step down in the new year.