This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as Prime Minister of Canada or otherwise ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time between December 16, 2024 and January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains in office to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Justin Trudeau or the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
market will resolve to yes if the sun comes up tmrw or a crow sings a Shakespeare play in the ear of a elephant with exceptional hearing. fcking ridiculous rules here. he never resigned, he said hes thinking of resigning
instead of writing "but" in the rules, create a new market for the exception you're thinking of. If you can create new markets from the rules then those rules should not be included. Create a new market instead of adding exceptions to the main spirit of the market.
I just want better rules with less "but"s in the rules.
lo siento, you have to remember every market resolution has the potential to be quite subjective, open to group interpretation, then finally UMA collusion just look at the current morning headlines... CBC: Trudeau to resign as prime minister after Liberal leadership race BBC: Justin Trudeau resigns as Canadian prime minister - live updates the Guardian: Canadian prime minister announces plan to resign - live which version do you objectively choose? does it depend on the interpretation of the writer/editor? or the view of cross-section of the polled populace? or does it depend on what you imagined, interpreted, envisioned when you bought your shares? or what you wish to interpret?
i hear you, we need to take into account the odds of unfair dealings. best we can do is voice our objections hoping for improvements into the future
"resigns" in the title and "resigning" in the rules are not in line with each other, not compatible. Who's writing these rules? You keep creating new markets in the rules and it's disgusting to me and others showing clear warranted disapproval in the comments. Keep the wording from the title in rules, keep the same tense in the rules.
Just don't invest when the rules aren't clear. I did make the same mistake in the past.
yeah, we gotta take into account the odds of unfair dealings
reading tax. Darwin approved
You can't be writing rules which are not in line with the main spirit of the title of the market. If you can create new market out of the rules you're writing then those rules should not be included and instead create the new market.
i'm disgusted by the short dispute windows and the premature resolutions and the incorrect resolutions
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as Prime Minister of Canada
How could you possibly dispute this outcome? Lmao.
he didnt say he is resigning...he says he intends to resign ...some time in the future..
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as Prime Minister of Canada lol
Why we lost the bet
read the rules : If Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains in office to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution.
Wtf not in feb… but match
"he will resign" != "he is resigning"
Trudeau says he intends to resign as party leader and as prime minister after the party selects its next leader.
CBC and CTV News are reporting that Trudeau met Canada's governor general this morning and asked her to prorogue parliament - essentially a suspension that would stop all proceedings, including debates and votes, without dissolving parliament - until 24 March. This move would give the party time to find a new leader. While a routine part of parliamentary procedure, it is sometimes used by governments to buy time during a political crisis. Canada's parliament is currently on holiday break until 27 January.
Domer stop selling your Y
From the Guardian (and every single other source…) “ On Sunday evening, the Globe and Mail newspaper cited three sources saying that Trudeau would quit as head of the ruling Liberal party, which in turn would bring to an end his nine years as prime minister at some point later this year. The 53-year-old became party leader in 2013 and has been prime minister since November 2015.”
If Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains in office to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution.
there is another market for that. if that was what you was saying, it doesn't make sense to have two market
Since there is a different market for him resigning as party leader. And rummors he might resign as prime mininister (and supposedly asked Dominic LeBlanc to take over). If he just resigns only as party leader and not prime minister then this is a clear No. It’s not that hard.
the market is clear. as PM of Canada. the rest doesn't matter
Yeah, now they need to elect another PM. Glad we agree.
yes but that's still is not what the market is about. It's about him saying he's stepping down as PRIME MINISTER
He did. He is party leader AND pm. Stepping down from one means they need to find another PM
so why the seperate market for party leader then ?
For those uneducated about these cold subjects of the crown, read this and make some weird argument about how this resignation isn’t a PM resignation. [link removed]
Been watching this market closely, just didn’t think people didn’t understand how it worked?
muse be retired
Press conference one hour about his "political future". Resignation coming.
“Will announce his resignation as Canada’s liberal part on Monday…triggering a contest to replace him as Prime Minister.” You guys realize resigning from the party effectively means he resigned as PM? He just remains in office till election (which has to be held now)
I’m mobile and Bloomberg apparently won’t let you copy text anymore from articles