This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump announces that he is running for a third term as US President by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Trump must definitively state his intent to run (e.g., "I am running for a third term" or equivalent unambiguous language); vague comments, speculative or contingent remarks or jokes will not suffice. Past statements such his March 30 NBC phone interview where he stated "There are methods which you could do it, as you know... A lot of people want me to do it." or his November 13, 2024, where he stated "I suspect I won’t be running again unless you say, ‘He’s so good we’ve got to figure something else out.’" would NOT qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Donald Trump (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trump might test the limits again but running for a third term would face serious legal and political challenges making it unlikely to happen smoothly.
FDR had 4 terms when the US wasn't even under foreign threat. There are tens of millions of foreign ground troops in the US
didnt see that this ends on dec 31st of this year, yeah no way lol
The deadline on this market is abysmal. He still has multiple years to go in his current term, so he probably won't announce it anytime soon.
He cannot stop government shutdown, how is he going to change the constitution?
What even is this? C'mon Trump isn't announcing another term this year. Y'all are getting dumped on. It's also not his style. He didn't announce his 2024 campaign until a few months before.
bro tried to cheat his way back in in 2020 and almost succeeded, so who tf knows really lol
I refuse to believe there are humans who honestly believe this.
Lol
did this pop because of the economist steven banon interview?
If Trump starts a war and halts elections, would that count as Yes?
When the price drops to 1, I'll buy. Right now, only a fool would buy.
"jokes will not suffice." a joke may be difficult to distinguish here...
Eg: he's already selling official maga 2028 hats. Its not an announcement he's gonna run but implies it strongly ...
It would be amazing to see libs shit their britches if he were to say it! 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 Although I doubt he actually will get a third term, I think after Trump it's going to be two terms of President Vance.
If he does this, it won't come in as an outright declaration. He'll say he's running for VP or something. Not participating in this market due to the ambiguity.
Yes i like civil war vibes
I am ready to see
Unfortunately for the sake of the Free World this is not a bond