GeopoliticsMarkets
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
July 3178%
June 3062%
June 1525%
June 121%
$32,206,517 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
July 31$765K Vol.78%
2%
June 30$3M Vol.62%
June 15$1M Vol.25%
June 12$46K Vol.1%
5%
RulesMarket Context
On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918. This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify). Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
From my experience, the higher the panic, the stronger the reason to stay in the trade. Let's pray it doesn't happen that quickly.🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻
I love all my no brothers
its time to double down
Quite af in here lol…
why is everyone on poly64 now lol... not the same when everyone using it...
Nick Fuentes says Trumps a J*wish puppet, its literally like they using a Trump skin suit with nobody inside and this fat guy n this other guy standing behind it rubbin their hands
Please don't listen to Fuentes, he's an idiot and will drag you down to his level. There are much smarter people on youtube to follow to understand the world.
Trump says Iran’s leaked deal terms bear ‘no relation’ to agreement US President Donald Trump accused Iran of leaking false terms of a written agreement and said Tehran’s “totally rebuffed” drone attack against Indian ships leaving the Strait of Hormuz was “totally unacceptable.” "What they said, including their weak and pathetic statement on having a deal, bears no relation to the truth. Very dishonorable people to deal with," he said on Truth Social. "With them, there is no such thing as dealing in good faith. AMAZING!" "Also, their totally rebuffed Drone attack last night against Indian Ships leaving the Hormuz Strait is TOTALLY UNACCEPTABLE. They better get their act together, and FAST!" Yes, Hormuz reopens soon, for 39th times ...... ;)))
I dont understand why this has resolved yes
it didnt
glad i left poly64 on tbh.. let it ride baby
Gotta love how Trump said the war was over with Iran a day before the SpaceX IPO. Purely coincidence
The final cope
The blockade won't be lifted anytime soon
hhhh
Iranian TV: An explosion was heard in the maritime area of Sirik city in the south of the country.
Iranian FM Spokesperson says the issues raised about the agreement are speculation and the issue has not been finalized. The situation in the Strait of Hormuz is more insecure due to US actions. So far, Iran has not reached a final conclusion about the agreement.
Nothing will happen. Trump plans blockade one year🤡🤡
you guys fell for it again didn't you LMAO
JUST IN: Iran says "the agreement with US is not final yet."
Iranian Foreign Ministry: What is being said about the time and place of signing the agreement is media speculation.
Iranian Foreign Ministry: The American side's narratives are intended to show that Iran backed down from its positions under pressure and threats.
I love you man
no way iran agrees to this
I dont trust anyone now. we will see
I lost 3k because of his lies, learned my lesson n not selling this time
Same. Now until the end. Im not selling.
Buy the dip.. sell the facts, or something…
I brought the dip and it dipped more😂
Same here lol so i bought more 😶🌫️
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
July 31 · Yes
Amount
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