This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration officially announces the withdrawal of all U.S. troops from at least one former Warsaw Pact country by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of the withdrawal of a permanent U.S. troop presence will count, even if rotational deployments remain. Likewise, an announcement of the end of rotational deployments in a country that does not have a permanent U.S. troop presence will also count, however announcements of force reductions, or partial withdrawals will not qualify. Any official announcement made within in this market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of if/when the policy is implemented. Any country which includes a former Warsaw Pact country will count (e.g. Germany, Czech Republic, Slovakia, qualify). The resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repeating may also be used.
Doubt it, but it's 3 cents. Nothing ever happens but just in case something does happen.
Well, think about it, there is a NATO summit 24-25 of June.
does anybody actually think Trump knows what the warsaw act is lol
[link removed]
Any idea why the odds of leaving Nato are higher than that of leaving a Warsaw Pact country?
which countries will count?
According to Duda’s account of the meeting, he and Kellogg discussed recent incidents linked to Russian hybrid warfare, as well as concerns about the future of American engagement in European defence. “There are absolutely no American intentions to reduce activity in our part of Europe, especially in terms of security, or to decrease the number of American troops,” Duda said. “There are no signs that the United States plans to withdraw from Europe. (…) Two years ago, we absolutely correctly recognized that strengthening relations between the European Union and the United States should be a priority of Poland's EU presidency,” he added.
Yesturday when asked if he was committed to keep troops in Poland Trump said for sure, but when asked about the baltic states he hesitated and smiled
Should be a no but trump is very unpredictable