This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly claims that his 2025 presidential inauguration had the largest crowd size in history by January 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Any public statement from Trump written or verbal will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements made by Donald Trump. A consensus of credible reporting will be used to verify whether the claim was made.
[link removed] According to the Cambridge dictionary "crowd" "audience" and "viewers" are the same thing. Therefore, Trump claiming on Truth Social that his audience was the largest ever should qualify for "Yes".
Similar things but not the same
sure sir
[link removed]
does this count?
Viewership is not crowd size, so no
This us a Scam
There’s still 10 days for him to make some tweet about it
this is pure gambling lmao. it obviously wont be the biggest crowd but you never know with trump
Has Trump ever said something that wasn't true?
Its going to be indoors now
RIP
but he could say, 'this is the largest audience in history.... in a tent' and it would resolve to YES
the event can be indoors while the huge crowd gets together outdoors
[link removed] To make it clear for some people here, he may still claim it was the most watched in history, but that's different from the biggest crowd and won't resolve it to yes.
largest ever!
He'll probably say largest attendance in history or most watched in history like he did in 2017. You don't call inauguration attendees a crowd, not even Trump.
crowd = attendance
Show me where it says he’s allowed to say the word attendance in the rules
Are foreign and domestic dignitaries and diplomats attending the inauguration part of the "crowd"? The fuck? If that's the case it should be disputed.
Of course they are. The attendance/crowd is expected to be 500,000 or so.
this isn't a 'Mentions' market. if he says, this is the biggest audience in the history of inaugurations... this will resolve to YES
They would’ve specified that in the rules. Using your logic he can also say biggest group, biggest viewership, biggest congregation, biggest turnover of people. There’s too many synonyms this would become a silly market. I advise you to go look at the Biden speech market that just ended. One of them went to No because there was one word in between two words. It should’ve been a yes but it wasn’t. Goodluck because the same will happen to you
The market bet that Biden would say “peaceful transition”. He said “peaceful orderly transition” and it went to no. And you think trump saying audience instead of crowd (even though crowd is literally the only word mentioned in the rules with no rules on alternative words), you think that will go to yes?? Goodluck
Audience can also include people watching online. This wordplay was used by his press secretary in 2017. It's not the same.
yeah, that was a 'mention' market as I said. this is very different. and you are correct, him saying biggest group, viewship, congregation etc., will also resolve to YES.
that was a mention market lmao. this one is not
obama had 1M crowd/audience. trump is expected to have 500K. this market is whether trump will CLAIM his audience/crowd was larger than Obama's.
You're desperate and trolling at this point. I know the difference between him claiming something and the factual truth. That's not the point I was making so I don't know why are you replying to me. The point is that the crowd (people physically present) and audience (TV audience? Online audience?) are different things. As I said, his press secretary claimed biggest audience in 2017, and he had to clarify that the meant that inludes all people watching it on TV and online. He won't claim that he had the biggest crowd, it's not a rally.
Youre talking bs. Of course he doesnt have to use that exact term.
Yeah im sure you and your $5 truly believe in what you’re saying
Largest crowd size in history or largest presidential inauguration crowd size in history?
Terrible market since the megalomaniac could simply pull numbers out his ass to soothe his aggrandized ego.
that's precisely the point. Will he do that.
So you're essentially betting on how he's willing to go, not actual facts. Not for me.
there is another market to bet on the actual fact, with very different odds.