This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Changpeng Zhao and Roger Ver receive a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roger Ver entered into a non-prosecution agreement. It is not possible for him to get pardoned because he won’t be convicted of anything.
You can still technically be pardoned even if you have no crimes. Ex, Biden pardoned anthony fauci
Fair value is 3.4% btw, dont buy at 15%
thanks, I'm sure no one else here knows how to multiply two numbers
Considering someone actually bought at 15, at least someone does not, so no problem
These events are not independent
Shhhhh probability is hard.