This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or his administration takes any action aimed at reducing aid to Ukraine between February 28th 2:00 ET and March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." General reductions in military spending or foreign aid that are not specifically targeted at Ukraine will not qualify. A qualifying action must clearly indicate an intent to reduce, restrict, or eliminate aid to Ukraine. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
clearly indicate an intent to reduce, restrict, or eliminate aid to Ukraine. The aid goal the US is outlining is bringing peace. They haven't ended that aid. They're pausing the aid. To review and ensure it's working.
The government is the resolution source. They're saying it. A pause to review and ensure. [link removed]
read the rules
“Indicate intent” White House official literally says they are reducing. Literally definition of intent
clearly indicate an intent to reduce, restrict, or eliminate aid to Ukraine. The aid is bringing them peace. They haven't ended that aid, they're pausing it to review if it's functioning. No reduction so far. Just a pause.
Why is this not resolved
They are ending all the aid, not cutting it
[link removed]
The Trump administration has decided to reduce USAID's presence in Ukraine from 64 to 8 employees - NBC
Lot’s of different usaid initiatives have been defunded. “A qualifying action must clearly indicate an intent to reduce, restrict, or eliminate aid to Ukraine.”
Plus the majority of military and financial aid was already approved by congress, so most likely there will be no new aid, but no reduction or elimination of the current
this argument is simply a word game
This market now goes into the territory I hate, while we rely on a bunch of UMA 'judges' to arbitrate on wording, instead of facts. I'm out
It's not a word game. This market is about an executive action that has the clear aim at reducing ore eliminating aid to ukraine. If they are defunding usaid (for other political reason), and thus indirectly reducing employees or else in Ukraine, it does not count for the resolution of this market.
If trump will interrupt current aid to ukraine, you will read it in the headlines, you'll not have to go see what usaid is doing.
what the heck? How come this market is not obviously yes? given what happened on 2/28
This may be closed right away: [link removed]
[link removed]
The Trump administration has decided to reduce USAID's presence in Ukraine from 64 to 8 employees - NBC
With his behavior in the White House, Zelensky has made aid from the United States almost impossible -- Senator Lindsey Graham