This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration takes a formal action or makes an official announcement directing the deployment of National Guard troops to a major 'Blue city' by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” Qualifying cities include any U.S. city with a population ≥ 300,000 based on the latest U.S. Census Bureau which is in a state won by Kamala Harris in the 2025 presidential election (Washington, D.C. and U.S. territories are not states and do not qualify). A qualifying announcement or action will count, regardless of if/when the deployment actually occurs, or if the deployment is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. Qualifying actions include but are not limited to: - A Presidential action (e.g., Executive Order, Presidential Memorandum) that directs or announces National Guard deployment to the listed city . - An official White House/DoD/National Guard Bureau press release, fact sheet, or order explicitly stating that National Guard troops will be deployed to the listed city. - A Secretary of Defense or NGB directive/order that calls up or assigns National Guard forces to the listed city, including under Title 32 (state control with federal funding) or Title 10 (federalized). - An official federal announcement that specific state Guard units (including the listed city National Guard or out-of-state Guard) are being sent to the listed city. Non-qualifying actions include: - Informal announcements/social media posts which do not constitute a formal policy announcement - Ambiguous remarks, “we’re considering it,” broad statements like “ready to go anywhere,” or contingent plans without a clear directive to the listed city. - Generic posture changes (e.g., standing up quick-reaction forces “nationwide”) that do not explicitly name the listed city as a deployment location. - A state-only activation by the listed city's state Governor without any official Trump administration action or announcement about sending the Guard to the listed city. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A sly devil wrote these rules
Robb Memphis doesn’t count, this is the issue: Qualifying cities include any U.S. city with a population 300,000 based on the latest U.S. Census Bureau which is in a state won by Kamala Harris in the 2025 presidential election (Washington, D.C. and U.S. territories are not states and do not qualify).”
Ya ik I just realized. Whoever wrote these rules is stupid imo. Memphis is a blue city but based on these rules won’t count LOL
he snuck it in there
im so screwed i just read the memorandum
I’m telling you based on the rules and reporting this is a yes I’m so serious
Wow, didn't know Kamala won Tennessee. That must've been a dem landslide.
It’s city not state. Look who won Memphis
I stand corrected I’ll take the L
[link removed]
shieeeeettt
so what problem with this market
damn yes holders go so lucky
trump signed a Presidential Memorandum for the Memphis task force which includes the national guard. This will go yes. Says that exact thing will qualify
What's going on?
i give it 10 mins before yes is at 100
damnn free money
This has to go yes based on this A qualifying announcement or action will count, regardless of if/when the deployment actually occurs, or if the deployment is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions.
Based on the rules, this has to go yes as the one in DC did just on the signature of deployment
probably new orleans
"President Trump is expected to decide to whether or not send the National Guard to Chicago sometime today." [link removed]
donnie needs a distraction
ggwp
announcement tomorrow