This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between November 4, 2024 and April 29, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of at least a temporary pause in the Israel-Hamas military conflict must pertain to the entirety of Gaza, and be declared through official channels by both parties. A humanitarian pause will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media source.
Right. The Thousand Year War is over. Did Tehran and Bibi get the memo? What benchmark other than “I said so.” From a generation of ahistorical political novices that weren’t alive when Arafat blew it all up because Jews. Seriously. This is just another quick pause in a very long conflict. CHUDs man. Alls of ‘em.
Why can’t I bet “no” on this?
https://polymarket.com/event/trump-ends-gaza-war-in-100-days/trump-ends-gaza-war-in-100-days
Isreal claims they are fighting Hamas in Jeneane in the West Bank.
"End"
Today drum set, he wants to clear out the entire Gaza area. Sure, the wall has ended indeed. Sorry, but that’s bullshit a Temporarily Peace, it’s not the end of the war…
*Trump
Hey the war continues, today Israel bombed the Gaza Strip again, right after the prisoner exchange
lol the war never ended. This platform is fucked.
"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if there is an official ceasefire agreement". Did you not read the rules?
You mean the same ceasefire that has been disputed on the correct date it was 'officially' announced? This is a scam enterprise in cahoots with serving the whales. Nothing more, nothing less.
More likely the market was made by a Trump simp and is stupidly titled.
maybe a next bet should be, how soon will this ceasefire (not "end of war") be broken...
Why is this not resolved?
Also rules state that the agreement must pertain "to the entirety of Gaza", and we don’t know that yet
So would this be a credible media source instead of official government announcement?
"Israeli security cabinet approves ceasefire-hostage deal" - [link removed]
A 12-hour pause is not an end of the Gaza war.
read the rules
Don't the rules say the title has to be accurate? I want my money back. Trump will not end the Gaza war in 100 days. This is not an end to the Gaza war, and Trump didn't do it.
yeah, the title says one thing (end war, [link removed]. PEACE) the "rules" say something completely different "at least a temporary pause" which doesn't say absolutely nothing. Only "declared through official channels by both parties" seems somewhat concrete, although is known that those "declarations" are frequently broken immediately... let's see this time.
Wdym "Trump didnt do it"?? Who did it then?? Literally everyone involved said he did it...
$20 on No because I'd be happy to lose that for peace in the Middle East, however brief, but I'm a cynic and the war has raged too hot too recently for any actual peace to be credible.
Israel delays cabinet vote on Gaza deal saying Hamas has reneged on parts of deal [link removed]
Everytime I get in one of these markets I seriously wonder how many of you people actually read the news. This has been a pretty obvious call as far back as October or even earlier. Was made more likely by Trump win but probably would have happened anyway. If you bought no, please reach out next time to someone like me before you place a similar bet in the future. Love
There are people with 100x your net worth betting no bro, stay humble
Whoa. You are telling me that there are people richer than me who made a shitty call on this market? Let me go ahead and delete my comment, and actually my entire portfolio, so I can take some time to reevaluate my worldview in light of this new insight
Damn bro just did it
The title should be adapted! "An official ceasefire agreement" is NOT "Ends war"! This is misleading. "End war" is an obvious NO, while "cease fire" is a probable YES.
welcome to polymarket
I guess so... but still, no one to take care of that?
and... welcome to polymarket
Will be the first of the many wars he will end!
Technically, it’s not Trump ending the war, but Biden, it seems. How do we explain that?!?
yeah, the title is totally missleading
rules are simple, they dont mention trump
Technically, a supposed "ceasefire" is NOT "end of war"...
Read the rules
[link removed] AP: “Two officials say Hamas accepted draft agreement for Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal. Israel is still weighing the deal” (I thought Israel accepted the deal, but I don't think they will now run with pressure from US, Egypt and Qatar)
[link removed] Trump’s Middle East Envoy Steve Witkoff held a tense meeting with Israle's Netanyahu on Saturday, urging him to accept compromises for a hostage deal by Jan 20, according to two officials cited by Times of Israel. The pressure seemed effective, as key gaps in the talks were reportedly bridged over the weekend.