41,800,260 people tuned in to watch the inauguration of Ronald Reagan on Tuesday, Jan. 20, 1981, the most viewed in history (see: https://www.nielsen.com/insights/2013/presidential-inauguration-draws-20-6-million-viewers/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has more than 41,800,260 viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
what now we're just f8cked ??
go check trumps twitter
THIS IS BS
how do you despute ????
bro check twitter rn. we won
Another bet with a dubious result (same as tiktok which has NOT been banned). It has already been confirmed that this has been the most viewed in history.
So online stream views or not considered? More than 30M views on X only! This is messed up!
Maybe in the future we should stick to relevant sources for data. TV is legacy, and so are Nielsen's estimates.
I just received an email from Nielsen sttaing that they will def release the inauguration viewership before Jan 31 so this will def get resolved based on Nielsens ratings
apparently not
Source Nielsen: Over 67 Million Viewers Tune In for ABC News Harris-Trump Debate. (Think about this)
source?
Think about that inauguration usually has max 50% of debate viewership
Networks Included: ABC, CBS, NBC, TEL, UNI, ESTRELLA, BET, BET HER, CNBC, CNN, CNNe, FOX NC, HLN, MSNBC, Newsmax, Newsy and WGNA.
NOTE: Out-of-home viewing as well as connected TV (CTV) viewing are included in the 2021 total figures for this advisory. Contribution coming from CTVs can be as much as 11% for televised political events.
Same for 2025
I love that this bet has come down to whoever understands how Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic is calculated. Polymarket at it's finest.
anybody knows when we can expect the numbers to be available?
21 Jan on nielsen
easy money
This market is absolutely insane.
250k volume yet under 4k in order book depth, wildest rollercoaster ever...
Trump might come close to Obama or Reagan numbers but zero chance he's gonna beat them... definitely a NO
Is live streaming like YouTube also included in the count ?
Tiktok has been banned, which means hundreds of millions of people will be watching and waiting to see if Trump says or decides anything about turning TikTok back on. This will definitely be the most watched inauguration in history.
tell em twice
Tiktok is available, nobody watches TV, and I'd bet you know nobody who is going to watch the inauguration (who is not a degenerate gambler on PM). I couldn't find one person planning on watching, and I live in Florida lol
Source: Nielsen. NOTE: Out-of-home viewing as well as connected TV (CTV) viewing are included in the 2021 total figures for this advisory. Contribution coming from CTVs can be as much as 11% for televised political events.