This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US officially announces that it has suspended diplomatic relations with Ukraine by 11:59 PM ET on April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the US government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Chances are Ukraine are on the verge of getting an ultimatum by the US to sign the minerals deal or abandon all help by the US, and I don't expect Ukraine to sign.
What ever happens yes will go up.
That's why I sold