This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which creates, lifts a suspension on, or raises tariffs on imports of any alcoholic beverages into the US from any European Union member state, by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any modification of existing tariffs which is reported as increasing the total amount of tariffs on alcoholic beverages from any EU member state (measured in dollar value) will qualify, regardless of how the increase is structured. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the policy goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
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gg fellas
Tariff is a tariff is a tariff is a tariff
Ggs. Shout-out to Cronus66 for fighting the good fight and helping Team Y get fills 😁
Look at the order book lol. This market has been so blatantly manipulated, don't fall for the yes scam
Just gimme more shares man
A general tariff does not count as a tariff specifically on alcohol... you realize if that was the case then this market would've resolved on April 2nd, 9 days ago right?
Could've
Buy more and then I will propose
you guys are drunk
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Proposable
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the general tariff should count for "yes"
Agreed, per the rules this is a fact. However, Polymarket decided to trash whatever reputation that they had left and put “Additional context” on several markets that were in direct contradiction to the rules. They did not put one on this market, but it is the reason that I posted all of the specific and explicit information from USITC earlier in the comments so that even people arguing that it doesn’t count cus it’s “General” have no argument as the information shows it is not general but that each and every item that will be tariffed is explicitly listed, including alcohol.
I just agree. Everyone seems scared to buy it out and propose and I am reciprocally but I don't know why, really
Anyway. @Glued. Buy me out, brother. Let's have fun.
I am scared to bond it out but that’s because UMA does not care about facts haha. See: Ukraine mineral rights deal resolution
I will bond it out before April 30. I have all of the documentation from the USITC. I have a brief explanation below but I am just hoping this resolves without me having to write up a resolution and cite the relevant portions of the documents.
U.S. International Trade Commission’s (USITC, authority in charge of U.S. tariff information and documentation) Harmonized Tariff Schedule explicitly lists products of alcohol as one of the imports from the EU that is subject to increased tariff and directly cited the executive order from April 2. All relevant information can be found in Chapter 99, beginning with [link removed] and then redirecting to the mentioned subsections. Link here: [link removed]
When you redirect to US notes 2 subsection 5, you will find the following: [link removed].01.76 impose additional ad valorem rates of duty on imports of all products. [Compiler's note: Headings [link removed].01.76 are effective April 9 2025. For more information, see "Regulating Imports with a Reciprocal Tariff to Rectify Trade Practices that Contribute to Large and Persistent Annual United States Goods Trade Deficits" on the White House website, dated April 2, 2025.]
From there, this same section includes an exhaustive list of every single category of product that is explicitly affected by the mentioned Executive order. Specifically, one such product is [link removed], which is Red wine - Of an alcoholic strength by volume not over 14 percent vol.
To clarify, I should have posted the following in my first post. [link removed] is: “Except for goods loaded onto a vessel at the port of loading and in transit on the final mode of transit before 12:01 a.m. eastern daylight time on April 9, 2025, except for products described in headings [link removed].01.33, and exceptas provided for in heading [link removed], articles the product of the European Union or Jordan as provided for in subdivision (v) of U.S. note 2 to this subchapter”.
Oh Benny next time do not sell when you've done this much research and are so right on all fronts okay?
Lol not sure I can do that. We both know this platform is unreliable. I knew 100% it was a “Yes”. I was 50/50 on it resolving “yes”. A good example of this is my current position of 33,000 “No” on Trump reducing China tariffs. It has not happened, but my guess is that it will resolve to “yes” in a couple of days.
It was why I did not buy more “Yes” shares even though I knew 100% that I was a “yes”. I bought my shares before I realized this platform allows scams and changes rules mid market.
Fill me up damnit. Fatten me like a hog with shares and slaughter me with your moneybucks.
Slit my throat with your analysis knife and make me financially bleed out in the umashack
I beg you
Nobody wanted to force feed me :(
I've made a lot of profits this month and am okay with redistributing them. My orders are in the book!
Since Trump already imposed general tariffs, he won't really care about alcohol. So I guess no is really undervalued.
I disagree
when the EU counter tarrifs the us trump will tariff EU alcohol, this will hit the especially the france and they have a big leverage in the EU
don't think so but let's see
I guess this is a yes, but why market doesn't move?
it's a general tariff. This would only resolve yes if US increase the total amount of tariffs on alcoholic beverages.
why? per the rule a general tariff including alcohol seems qualify for yes?
in my opinion yes, but i preferred to stay safe and sold my yes for a profit. we should check with polymarket
Tomorrow is liberation day... i wonder when america will liberate from Trump. I hope soon
he will definitely put some tariffs on french wine imho
Not happening: [link removed]