This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and another country, or a multi-country entity such as the European Union, between June 24 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Can someone clarify what this market was resolved based on? Did it end up being the china thing?
Isn’t it a framework agreement?
On June 27 2025 US officials announced a concrete deal Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told reporters Washington and Beijing have signed a trade agreement to expedite US access to Chinese magnets and rare [link removed] AP and outlets like Anchorage Daily News reported that Washington and Beijing have signed a trade agreement on rare [link removed] Guardian likewise reported the Chinese authorities confirmed the deals details on Friday (June 27).These sources indicate that both sides publicly acknowledged an [link removed] if it is rare earth trade that also counts as a trade deal( at the end of the day this is also trade ) hence it is a trade deal. A deal involving rare earth also qualifies as trade deal
YES should have proposed, now it is looking sketchy
shouldnt the china deal resolve this market?
Trump "we just signed with China yesterday" : [link removed]
there are some videos as well
But China didn't confirm this yet
They confirmed
No =
No =)
Check the press conference of the commerce ministry
Check the price, it say NO =)
The so-called deal between China and the USA? Total fake news, folks. Just some hints, no real agreement - China’s not serious, tariffs still there, everyone knows it’s all talk, no deal yet!
[link removed]
It is a framework for future cooperation, not an actual treaty.
I sold, i no longer believed in NO, sorry to my fellow no holders wish you luck
[link removed].cn/xwfb/xwfyrth/art/2025/art_[link removed] it's pretty clear the deal was finalized in recent days, plus information released by the US, the agreement is signed after June 24th
per the rules it doesnt matter the date of enactment only announcment. And this is very clearly the same trade deal trump announced 2 weeks ago
did China recognized 2 weeks ago?
trump said a lot everyday, his words is not an official announcement
China, U.S. agree on details of London trade framework, Beijing says - NBC news. This going to be interesting now because does this count as a new trade deal or the same one that was announced a couple weeks ago in london?
i might be a little partial but i would say its the same one
london talks announced nothing by china, but now they confirmed the new deal has been signed in recent days.
Already signed? [link removed]
on the first line you can see that it's the one dealed in Geneva, not a new one
no, it's after london talks according to CHINA
you did not read the article, posted below ....
what I meant is the commerce ministry just claimed in the press conference 20 mins ago
anyway it's a new deal happened after JUNE 24th
96 hours left
Confirmed by the White House that the "just signed with China" said yesterday referred to the application act of the deal negociated in Geneva. About India I repeat that it will happen one or two day before the deadline, in July
i concur
Remember "mutual + offical". The little TACO's show has no value. And some people bought 60 some shares which are going to zero in 3 days
nothing so far...
Close and pay
would this qualify as a trade deal? : Howard Lutnick, the US commerce secretary, said the two sides had “reached a framework to implement the Geneva consensus … Once the presidents approve it, we will then seek to implement it.”
gonna take a nap, if in two hours something been announced im krilling myself
Something I considered here is what occured mid of june. Media reported that the US-UK trade deal was a blank sheet of paper and only Trump signed it.
is that what it was
[link removed]
Trump announced they signed a deal, so one side already announced. Now only China needs to announce and this will resolve. FUD from no traders is fake and incorrect
But very profitable =)
im fudding my pants
Indian delegation arrives in US to continue trade talks