GeopoliticsMarkets
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
June 305%
December 31<1%
January 31<1%
March 31<1%
$1,567,337 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30$94K Vol.5%
1%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine officially agrees to a peace framework to end the Russo–Ukrainian war that the United States has formally endorsed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following: 1. A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework. 2. An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework. The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Verbal (including interviews or remarks during bilateral meetings) and social-media claims by either leader will not qualify unless later issued in an official written or published form by the respective government. The U.S. President or any US government official publicly stating that “an agreement has been reached,” without a corresponding formal release or communiqué, will not qualify; the same applies to statements by the Ukrainian President or Ukrainian officials. 3. A formally issued Ukrainian governmental action — including a presidential decree, Cabinet resolution, or National Security and Defense Council decision — explicitly stating that Ukraine agrees to the U.S.-endorsed framework. The primary resolution source will be official government documents, statements, decrees, and credible reporting confirming that Ukraine officially agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework under the standards above.
nah
It is never gonna happen
"Never say never" -Gen Custer
Actually this is a yes.
In theory, they cancelled all the bets on Ukraine. So , I don't understand why this one is still here
Why they cancel?my yes position is gone and the money i paid. Says "market archived."
You haven't lost it yet, wait and see what happens
Very strange nonetheless.
this is a temporary glitch
Fuck Ukraine with a sick dick 🍆
loser
Too much money in death weapons . Peace does not stand a chance, economicaly,numericaly, factualy. No peace deal.
I don't like the communique aspect of these rules
This is so underpriced: Top Ukrainian negotiator says talks with US to continue in Davos
How is this not yet resolved after macron, zelensky, merz, starmer talked on the phone with trump about Ukraine agreed with the cease fire?
Have you tried reading rules? They are just above "Add a comment" form.
on mobile its not that simple, he has to click on one of the actual tabs for different dates to cum to the rules
bro that video you saw is from may 2025
bro wake up
Ukraine-Russia war latest: Zelensky says Trump’s peace agreement could be signed at Davos next week if terms agreed
[link removed].uk/news/world/europe/[link removed]
We are coordinating with the envoys of President Trump on the schedule of meetings - our documents are, in many respects, already prepared for signing.
What is the result?
No for december 31th
try bla
Try blabot
Try Shubibot!
plz tip to a poor dude guys
we got begging on polymarket before gta 6
Sure, here’s a tip: get a job…
cannot be agreed, against Ukrainian Constitution, sovereignty and risk of rebel spike
Not gonna happen after Trump-Zelensky meeting
USA will never propose a workable solution, that guarantees Ukraine sovereignty, would not be proposed by USA because Russia won't accept it
Russia's consent is not required for this market. This is not about peace, but about an agreement between the US and Ukraine.
Russia consent is necessary for US endorsement as long as Trump and his pals are in power
Nope)
You do realize that this is a learning situation? If it's a yes then I learn that Trump is not being influenced by putin, what will you learn if it's a no?
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
June 30 · Yes
Amount
$
By trading, you agree to the Terms of Use.