This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President. For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trump: I am not satisfied because the Kurds did not deliver the weapons we sent to Iran during the protests. And here No hhhhhhhhb
Dispute
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Polymarket is a scam if this doesn't go yes. Its confirmed.
[link removed].uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/[link removed]
How is this not a yes? It’s already been confirmed the US are arming and supporting the Kurds
This is a 100% confirmed, why is this not higher?
Already confirmed
This should be a lot higher it’s already confirmed
YES confirmed! The rules accept a definitive statement from the president and define military support as including weapons and logistics. Trump confirmed that the USA sent “a lot of guns” and that “we sent them to the Kurds / through the Kurds.” This is already public confirmation of military/logistical support involving Kurdish groups in the Iranian theater; the dispute over whether the protesters received the weapons or not is irrelevant to the resolution.
"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?" Market already reached near-zero 🤣
confirmed Kurdish Komala soldiers with American weapons and even helping in combat. [link removed]
The Kurdish community is questioning and pressuring the leaders about where these weapons are so that they can fight (They want the weapons to defend themselves and will do anything to get them even if they later do not participate in anything). Photos of American weaponry with some Kurdish groups have already started to appear.
source with photos ?
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Why is the price so low?
Because they do not understand the Kurds. The Kurds have several divisions and will easily enter the war now since they have no choice; they should take advantage of this conflict in Iran to arm themselves since Syria has taken many territories. Yesterday they were attacked and today they have already published photos with American weapons; believe me, in a few days they will be confirming it, the Kurdish people are already demanding this.
YES. The new Al Jazeera report materially strengthens the YES case because it attributes a direct statement to President Trump that the US sent “a lot of guns” and sent them “to the Kurds” for Iranian protesters/opposition groups. That is no longer just anonymous sourcing or media speculation — it is a presidential statement. Under the market rules, YES resolves if the US government officially announces or clearly confirms military coordination with Kurdish groups operating in Iran, or military support to them. The rules also explicitly allow definitive statements by the President to qualify. Sending guns is plainly military support. If Trump says the weapons were sent to the Kurds, that is a public confirmation of US military support involving Kurdish groups. The strongest NO argument is that the weapons were meant for protesters, not the Kurds themselves. But the market does not require a formal Pentagon press release or a perfectly worded policy memo. It requires a clear confirmation, and here the President himself is described as saying the guns were sent to the Kurds. That is enough to satisfy the rule’s support/confirmation standard. At minimum, this is far beyond rumor: it is an attributable presidential admission of arms sent via Kurdish actors, which fits the market’s YES criteria much better than prior reporting. [link removed]
I received a call from @USAMBTurkiye and Special Envoy Tom Barrack, who conveyed President Donald Trump’s strong condemnation of the attacks on the Kurdistan Region and the drone strike on my residence in Duhok. I appreciate President Trump’s solidarity, his condolences to the families of the martyrs, and continued U.S. support for the security and stability of Iraq and the Kurdistan Region. [link removed]
Iranian official to Reuters: Tehran has received Pakistan's proposal and is reviewing it; it will not accept deadlines or any pressure. If ceasefire happens, there will be no support for rebel groups. Trumps last night statement doesnt qualify as it was related to pre war help and it was an informal statement not a formal policy announcement.
TRUMP talked about the Kurds and Iran fell into the trap by attacking them, now TRUMP can officially provide weapons to the Kurds and will do so with the excuse that the "Kurdish people need to defend themselves." Take advantage and buy YES! TRUMP will give an interview tomorrow and will talk about the Kurds.
Kurds have been burnt a few too many times by US promises, not saying its impossible but people should really understand the history here. Think the odds are fairly realistic. They've sacrificed a lot for people who have abandoned them to get slaughtered more than once at this point. Not even good allies consider Trump reliable at this point, Kurds don't forget.
Of course, but look at the Kurdish community after these attacks... THEY WANT THE WEAPONS! Syria is advancing, Iraqi forces are advancing, if they don't have these weapons they will basically disappear. The enemies of the Kurds are taking advantage of the war; in a matter of days this issue will be resolved as YES because TRUMP focused on them.
Trump sent guns to Iranian protesters through Kurdish militias [link removed].uk/world-news/2026/04/05/trump-sent-guns-iranian-protesters-through-kurdish-militias/?[link removed]_id=tmgoff_tw_post_iranian-protesters-through-kurdish-militias/
Kurds are being attacked now! With force! This means that Iran has indeed seen something, they will fight back and when they fight back, American support will be evident. It's only a matter of time to confirm YES!