On May 12, 2025, the United States and China announced a 90-day mutual reduction in tariffs as part of a temporary trade de-escalation agreement. This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between May 13, and August 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements to extend the 90 day tariff reduction announced on May 12, will qualify. Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced. Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Why is it a "yes" if it's literally "no"?
Why is an extension of 90 days a yes to an agreement? 🤔
What happent ?
The only question is: who is going to postpone in a powerplay first?
3 more days
will trump surprise us?
Trump has a big week next week announcing an extension of the trade truce and then meeting Putin.
They already decided to extend just Bessent was butthurt that the Chinese pre emptively announced it without Trumps approval so they're laying low then gonna extend right in the brink of TACO
8 august this market will resolve in "Yes"
[link removed]
US President Donald Trump said he was “getting very close to a deal” with China to extend the trade truce that saw the two countries agree to reduce tit-for-tat tariff hikes
yeah he say it regularly, look how market didn't reacted at all, i barely broke even with 0.1c+
Just wait for resolution. Easy 20%+ return.
Never have a deal, unless one of them are dead or step down
extension counts, no one expects a real deal
Yeah, rules heavily skewed towards Yes, but Theta Decay soon kicks in
easy
CHINA REJECTS U.S. DEMANDS TO STOP BUYING RUSSIAN OIL, VOWS TO PROTECT ENERGY SOVEREIGNTY DESPITE TARIFF THREATS. BEIJING SAYS IT WILL “ALWAYS ENSURE ITS ENERGY SUPPLY” IN LINE WITH NATIONAL INTERESTS AND WARNED AGAINST COERCION. U.S. CONSIDERING SECONDARY TARIFFS OF UP TO 100% OR EVEN 500% ON COUNTRIES IMPORTING RUSSIAN ENERGY.
easy
Ant gonna happen. China ant wanna lose to america in anyway even in trade, as china in trade is pretty powerful. Not that I like china.
classic uma scam
Hehe, no agreement yet.
Why you care so much and never put money on it
And you
I earned a lot from this
I personally predict that there will be eventually a deal, but also enough up and downs for some profit.
No deal. They're going for another 90 days.
Agreements to extend the 90 day tariff reduction announced on May 12, will qualify.
96.5c jesus, is Luntik that trustworthy?